Thursday, October 25, 2012

i made a mistake

still wondering if u guys were right, i probably should be where i can play poker instead, am testing out a theory with the VBJ machines all to myself and still not winning. am at $33000 in coin in now and down to $3600, thats about $800 drop since coming to laughlin. if the machine was shuffling every hand and counting wasnt possible, my expected loss would still only be $130. am certainly running well below expectation.

the only thing ive not done i said id do is not bet over 1 200th of the roll, but if i did that now, my max bet would only be $18, giving me almost no spread at all seeing the min bet is $2. am wondering if yes the machine is beatable still, but not for me since my roll is too low. or maybe ill just finally decide theres no way to beat it without the info for sure when it shuffles. am trying to find a way to beat it without that info. but this test is killing my roll.

and now for some really horrible news, found out 5 min ago josie is quitting her blog.

need to change plans before this roll goes all the way down to $2000 before checkout tues next week.

16 comments:

  1. Tony,

    The title of this blog is the understatement of the century: "i made a mistake"

    That is like saying McDonald's sold a hamburger.

    It is probably not your fault though, not one person advised you to stay in Vegas and grind it out. NOT!

    The life of a professional VBJ player can be lonely with a lot of swings.

    I suggest you pull your head out of your ass and quit chasing -EV games for profit. I know that you are 100X smarter than everyone else, but do you think casinos would keep these machines in play if they were beatable? Really? If a machine is not making money it is taken off the floor, end of story.

    Good luck, of course,

    snevman

    ReplyDelete
  2. "still wondering if u guys were right, i probably should be where i can play poker instead"

    really?!? seriously?!? is the message FINALLY starting to get through??

    ReplyDelete
  3. Latest tweet indicates Tony is now out $1,500 since leaving Vegas.

    No point passing comment or judgement, or offering advice, as all will be ignored.....

    Can't see why Josie quitting her blog matters in the least?

    ReplyDelete
  4. Tony, please! Go back to Vegas and stop the test while you still have some money. :(

    ReplyDelete
  5. Come to Vegas this weekend.. I'll stake u in a tourney or game.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Make sure the tourney or game is VBJ, lol.

      Delete
  6. Hopefully you have VBJ our of your system now! Though I doubt it!

    ReplyDelete
  7. It's help from guys like king of donks that keeps this trainwreck moving. I don't blame these compassionate souls, but damn, if I had as many benefactors as TBC, I'd quit my job and become a professional VBJ player too.

    ReplyDelete
  8. Tony,

    When I visited last month we talked about machine play adn how you need to stay in Vegas. Either you think I am a fool or you choose to ignore good advice. I guess that since you are 100X smarter that everyone else you know best.

    Your roll is disappearing and if you don't wake up you will be broke and on the streets in no time. Come on, is this what you really want?

    Good luck, of course,

    snevman

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I really beleive it is what he wants. Where he feels at home.

      Delete
  9. Good title! Admitting it is the first step.....11 more to go to beat the VBJ addiction.

    ReplyDelete
  10. Tony wants to play VBJ. He wants that more than he wants to play poker. He wants it more than he wants a stable place to live. He wants it more than he wants a secure, stress-free amount of money. He wants it more than he wants a new bicycle. He wants it more than he wants to be able to give money to his mother and son. He wants it more than he wants a girlfriend. He wants it more than he wants the approval of anybody who cares about him. He wants it more than he wants to be an honest person, as he is willing to lie and cheat people out of money in order to do it.

    How do we know this? Because he sacrifices having all of those things in order to play VBJ, and he does so over and over and over and over and over and over and over again, day after day, year after year.

    Tony could have years ago been in a situation where he had enough money that he would be nearly immune from going broke, living in a safe, stable apartment of his own, in a position to send a little extra money to his family every month, able to buy things he needed (bike, new clothes, etc) without panicking that such purchases would push him closer to being broke, able to take days off from playing poker when he felt like it without freaking out that he couldn't afford to do so, not feeling the need to lie in order to get people to stake him for poker tournaments.

    Nope. He wants to play VBJ more than he wants to be in that kind of situation. So be it. We all have to make our choices. I think his preference for playing VBJ over having all of those things is completely foolish and incomprehensible, but it's his life and he gets to make his own decisions, however irrational and self-destructive the rest of us may judge them to be.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Grump,

      Well said, of course.

      Good luck,

      snevman

      Delete
  11. Since posting this, got down as low as $2900. Now back to $3500 and playing pokef in the nugget, will update blog from room

    ReplyDelete