he gave my laundry to his wife to do for $20, and im waiting for him to bring it over shortly, we might play some poker, or we might run into Herbie, who is also in town playing some poker. he has a free room at harrahs til thrus, i have a free room at the river palms up until next tuesday.
heard from claudia both last night by text while she was at her scrabble club, and today when she called while i was sitting at the VBJ. its not been good here, am down to $3800 of the $4400. except for $80 internet access coming due from my bank acct, most of it was lost on VBJ.
yet i still feel like the reason i lost was due to betting too much. some of my bets were $40 or a little above. i am supposed to follow bankroll rules to not go broke, and limit my bets to $20, not $40. especially if max betting 3 spots at once.
do u know what makes the VBJ machines so nice here at the river palms? not only are they generous with room comps, they have 4 machines, plus a 5th one i dont count since it shuffles each hand. one of the 4 that shuffles at 2 3rds of a 6 deck shoe stands on soft 17, and i prefer that machine. i do move machines at times to avoid another player, or to get away from a bad count. but its so easy to be able to play all alone here without ever having to worry about another player sitting down, its so dead in here. should be a heaven for card counters, IF these machines are really beatable.
so now im supposed to limit my max bet to $19 but i dont see how i can possibly follow that, not nearly a wide enough spread, i could probably try limiting it to $30 though. i do know one thing about the math though, the machines payback (better paying one on soft 17 that is) is 99.61%. also i know the cashback rate is 10c back for every $100 run through the machine. so that means for every 10c i get in cashback, i should lose 40c on the VBJ (of course thats ONLY if i cant earn that back plus more by counting). so far ive got about $16 in cashback coming my way i havent claimed yet, so that means i shouldnt have lost more than $64. so i am running far worse than what my expected EV should be. yes i know some of u expect me to lose, but i shouldnt be losing more than a tiny bit on each $100, and over the long run i should be very close to that. Claudia says its foolish to play them, and i should realize ill never lose in the long run.
i am wondering if i shouldve never gave up my apt, and just bought a bike, and played poker around vegas, i was far better off then with $4500. i did not realize when i came to laughlin the golden nugget game here had died so much. also i get better net in my room here than i did at home, still thru verizon, but at least i dont get the err message i have the same ISP as another computer nearly as much. but ive ran bad online and the $195 id ran it up to after winning 3 sngs is back to $112, the bad luck has been in cash games. im better off in double up sngs. i miss the microwave, but at least here in laughlin i have a fridge.
i think its wrong to hide knowledge that can benefit others, thats why i own a forum, and have a blog. people who have done well at gambling should use their knowledge to help out up and coming gamblers. and i get mad at people who want me to hide info on my blog, and its probably got somewhat to do with me showing my hole cards when i dont need to. anyway many of u know who Bob Dancer is. hes a well known name when it comes to Advantage play machines. heres an email exchange.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------i think u start reading at the bottom, or this will be in the wrong order---
well that dont work so well for me, u see the reason i prefer the VBJ to live BJ, is not just that i prefer to play ALONE, without others around, but because of the very low minimum bet. just arrived in laughlin at the river palms, its easy to get one to urself here. $2500 would wipe out most of my entire roll.
came with a roll of $4400, after running thru 6000 points ($12000 coin in) am up $8. am varying my bet from $2 (min bet, used to be $1) to a max bet of $40, just under 1% of my roll. playing 1-3 spots at once. i think a $2-40 spread should be enough to make a very slight profit, ill be happy just growing the roll $300-500 a week and getting room free everyday. keep the running count as well as i can, and since so many of the machines arent being played on, move machines quite often if the count goes bad.
i think im using fairly wise strategy, havent lost anything on the first 6000 points earned, but would be nice to meet others in laughlin who know how to beat these machines if possible and talk with them for advice. But im too poor to pay money, if someone had a large roll of say $40,000 or so then it might be worth buying.
also check out the new machines at circus las vegas, it actually shows u the shuffle, better rules, only 4 decks, stands soft 17 instead of hitting, but it shuffles every 80 cards.
, can u still beat the game with that poor of penetration?
id assume so with a wide enough spread and bankroll, since the bet is $1 to $500
--- On Mon, 10/22/12, Bob
Subject: Re: VBJ
To: "Greg Brown"
Date: Monday, October 22, 2012, 7:08 PM
Yes I know how to do this. A friend of mine sells personal how- to instructions for $2500. The price is non-negotiable
Sent from my iPhone
On Oct 22, 2012, at 4:37 PM, Greg Brown
You have any thoughts on this?
---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: Tony Bigcharles
Date: Mon, Oct 22, 2012 at 4:20 PM
how can i get an accurate count so i can beat the VBJ shufflemaster machines that do NOT shuffle each hand, and pay 3-2? cannot find any articles about this, also would be curious where they have them in smaller towns in NV besides lauglin, reno and vegas
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------anyway, this guy when i told him i couldnt pay $2500, he didnt even have the courtesy to answer none of my questions, just told me to contact him someday when i had the money.
so it turns out theres a way to beat these VBJ machines, its just that no one will tell me, the info is hidden among the people with the huge rolls, and those are the very people who SHOULD NOT have it, for they are burning them machines out. the people with low rolls are no threat to them, or the casino and can really use the info. sooner or later ill stumble onto the secret. People like him have a responsibility to help people like me who are 100x smarter than him with a higher IQ due to me having aspergers and him NOT having it, deserve the info a lot more than him, and know a lot more about the math. i can grind out maybe $1 or $2 an hour more if i had the help of people like him, and i should be part of any AP or BJ teams because alot of info i know can help others.