In my room, heating up soups, starved to death. Signed up for a $25 don sng on lock whenever it hurry up and fills, and put the other $16 in play on a NL holdem table. (too much for PLO since im less familiar with that game and id have had to wait longer for a seat probably). A little bit on tilt because i finally had that long overdue loss.
yeah i was at $1985 when i went to bed last night, and was really wanting that last $15 so i could go and make a blog post about how glad i was to finally be back over $2000 and how much less worried id be. Slept the wrong hours, and woke up a little after 6am. (would rather be waking up about 1-2am) so i could have it all night without many people in the casino.
The shoe was getting to be somewhat in my favor, and id been slowly raising my bets, and wasnt winning. i must admit, ive been lucky to be up so much lately. why? because when i was behind, i was often betting the amount i was behind split up between 3 to 5 spots (so as not to bet too much a spot) on the first hand of a new shoe when i knew the count would be flat out of fear the count would be negative on all the rest of the hands possibly. so lets say i ended the previous shoe down $38. id bet like 3 hands of $8 and 2 hands of $7 to total $38 and to not bet too much per hand. if i won on all, id be no longer down from my high water mark. I didnt follow this entirely, just somewhat and made adjustments based on various things. i get tired a lot of just having to sit and wait all the time flat betting $1 one spot almost the entire shoe. and sometimes when im up and want to leave, i feel like i cant because the count is too good, then i give back most of the win. or sometimes greatly increase the win. yes, theres variance.
a poker player can always quit with a win without feeling like a dummy for leaving. a BJ pro always feels like its foolish to quit in the middle of a shoe with a good count, and that no matter what he is winning or losing, he is forced to stay and keep playing until the count turns negative. it just dont seem to make any sense to quit a game while the deck is favoring the player instead of the house.
so thats why, with a count of plus 8, and having just lost $95 + one $19 double down on 5 spots, I couldnt just get up and leave after losing that hand, and being down $203. finished out the shoe, still betting too much, but not that much, and 2 more shoes, til i finally got one starting off with a bad count, and then FINALLY left stuck $377 and quite pissed. new roll is barely $1600. Only that one time did i ever bet with $19 bets or more per hand, but i did have some $10 and up bets on other hands at times. am thinking 1% is too high to bet really, but i still remember being told earlier my spread wasnt wide enough to beat the game. am now wondering if my spread is too wide, and what is the lowest spread thats still wide enough, but not too wide?
i have got to quit raising my bets on flat counts of new shoes just because im behind and feel it might be many many shoes before a deck finally has a plus count, but im playing the same way i played to get my roll back to $1900 from $1100. thats why i said, i was just lucky earlier. sure im not overbetting my edge, but im raising the bets before i should just because it might be the ONLY hand for many shoes without a negative count.
i still think i could win if i changed my betting patterns, (to wait longer to make the larger sized bets) but i fear it would add even more variance, be alot more boring, and make it take much longer to earn my room comps. and i still wish a professional counter would sit here with me and give me advice. also im wondering if maybe i shouldve just gone back into vegas, and played at the suncoast.