Sunday, October 12, 2014

hopefully this will be the last time i need to buy houseware items.

it would be so nice, if i had someone i could always BORROW AND RENT items such as dishes, silverware, pots and pans from everytime i have a place to live, and then just return them to every time i need to leave town so they dont have to be repurchased. most people store something like this in a vehicle and thats why they keep these type of items for the long term. that, and they dont move around nearly as often.

But i wont be moving (or going out of town) anytime soon. (sorry to Ray because i really should go there and get right with God). i had to agree to stay much longer than just 30 days to be able to move in (at the special price im getting), and they are going to debit my bank card for a little bit over $1000 on the 11th of every month for the next few months. But this is a fairly nice place, convenient to the strip, nice TV, linens, fridge and microwave included, wifi, etc and its 100% safe in my opinion.

this will save me from nights like i had friday. when i started off the day winning $1001 at VBJ early in the morning, and then going out and losing $350 in the $1-2 NL game at the stratosphere, and then getting on the 108 bus to the airport, and deciding to give it one final session to recover at the hardrock before i returned to reno.

where i proceeded to play poorly (both before and after a bad suckout for a $500+ pot where all the money went in with me as an 80% favorite) and didnt know where else to go or what else to do when dead tired since i had no room. couldnt even go to vinces because i knew id lost his keys and worried he wouldnt wake up to let me in. Lost over $700 playing there, and then another $175 on the video poker machine 100play.

when i arrived at the airport around 1am, i found out the earlier flight to reno wasnt til after 8am, and the only earlier flight that interested me was one to Philly at 6am. and without a pillow, i didnt really want to sleep there all night, plus i worried someone would steal my cell phone from where i had it plugged in charging if i slept. (why does a new iphone constantly need charged all the time? is there a way to lower battery drainage and still use it?)

so i searched online and called expedia and finally got a room at an outrageous price for one night. had to book it over the phone instead of the web since it was after midnight.

anyway my hourly rate is all messed up, and the ONLY reason my tracking is messed up has nothing to do with the fact ive been losing. its because i have a new phone, and the old tracking program is only for android phones. so i cant really transfer the old hours over to the new cell. all in all i love the new cell, much better for games on the phone, and also i no longer need wifi while in the venetian since Sprint gets such a good signal. still sucks in the nugget however.

ive been advised NOT to use poker Journal, where i first downloaded and stored a few losing sessions with a negative rate of minus $70 per hour. so i switched to the recommended program poker income pro. it now has 2 sessions logged with a small win for the night. but my messed up logins have nothing to do with the fact ive ran bad lately. after a steady period of new sessions being entered ill soon have a definitive hourly again. the cost of this program, after a few trial sessions, i think is $10 if i remember right.

Right now im in the middle of a $14 triple up sng on bovada, and im really pleased with the quality of the wifi where im staying and the fact its totally free. But ive only got $83 on Bovada to work with, (but another $42 if i reach the money--which i just did 15 minutes later). if i could depend on a steady monthly check of $1000-2000 from this site, it would be nice.

the good news is i will now be in town long enough to see both Koala and Nick. the bad news is if i dont get this tooth fixed soon, i wont live nearly as long as either of them will. and i really think i should see a regular medical dr and have him take a good look at my health too.

at least now i wont be dependent any more on playing VBJ to earn free hotel stays, and comp dollars. i got tired of being dependent on it to cover my losses at $1-2 NL, and my bills. hopefully now things will get back to the way they were before i started winning so much on the VBJ. $6000 to $14,000 is quite the swing.

tonight i took a bad beat and felt quite pissed i didnt leave when my $112 was up to $408, but instead played another round or 2, and left with $217. (then moved to Omaha). the game was good, some new asian sat that was buying in big and bluffing, but it made the game too high variance. i won over $100 off him by calling his bluff to begin with, and not more than 1 or 2 rounds later lost big when he rivered me, where i was again calling his bluff.

the final hand in question i had QQ and he had 10 4 suited. he calls $15 raise preflop and flop is 347 with him getting a pair and a flush draw. river comes 8 to put a second flush draw out, and he raises to $60 and i call. (i should shove, but id have just lost more). how bad is not shoving there?

river comes 10, putting the backdoor flush up and i call his $100 bet. is that a bad call? (dont be results oriented). i called because i knew he was bluffing the turn, and my read turned out to be right.

but at least once i moved to the omaha i still made a good fold. early on i laid down AAJ9 utg because i had no low. flop comes J99 and 2 guys are calling or betting. on the river, one had A9, and the other guy had JJ. folding that preflop saved me quite a few bets.








41 comments:

  1. It should be easy to move your hourly results to the new poker tracking program. Suppose you have 600 hours with an average of $15/hour. That means a net of $9000 profit. So just enter all of that as one session in the new program--a session 600 hours long with $9000 profit.

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    1. but what about the 10 hours or so at minus 70 per hour that got erased when i deleted the tracking program i didnt care for?

      and when u log it as one long session, the standard deviation shoots up into the thousands and is seriously messed up.

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    2. Enter the missing data as an estimate, as best you can.

      Why in the hell do you care about the standard deviation? You don't even understand what it is! You really want to throw out 700 or so hours of data because you're worried about the SD being inaccurate????

      I have meticulous records of wins and losses going back to 2006. But I have never once calculated the SD, even though it would be straightforward. I can't even think of a reason why I would want to.

      I'm glad your priorities make sense to you. I doubt they make sense to anybody else.

      Delete
  2. You're spending over $1,000 a month on housing? Wow.

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    1. i figure ill get it back at the tables, because my stress rate will be more relaxed knowing i have safer housing, so ill be able to play better cause ill not be as nervous.

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    2. Pretty soon you'll be saying that you can't play as well because you're nervous about having to make more than $1000 per month to pay for housing.

      But I'm still baffled why you left Reno. For the first time in all the years I've known you, you had settled on a stable housing situation and stable source of poker income, with several hundred hours booked of a perfectly decent hourly earning rate, and a steadily growing bankroll. And then you walked away from it all. Makes no sense at all to me. I can only conclude that you don't LIKE stability. It's too boring.

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    3. You think your earn rate is $1,000/month at the tables?

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    4. Just don't run away after one bad week thinking you cant afford to live there anymore.

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    5. well, according to Benny, Cutter, and Chaperone, if i played the VBJ the way they think it should be played, i should be able to win $50 an hour on it if i pick the right machine in the right city.

      it would be about 3x as much as $1000 a month at the poker tables--if i just wasnt in vegas. i think its negative here. but i am not sure.

      the only reason i left reno is theres no VBJ there that dont shuffle every hand in reno itself so i just didnt want to remain somewhere i couldnt ever play it at all.

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    6. Get this through your head for once

      You're NEVER going to beat VBJ in the long run

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  3. Tony, maybe i can learn VBJ counting. hmmmmmmmmmm

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  4. TBC, Sept 6: "ive been a terrible fool, not sticking to poker"

    TBC, Oct 12: "i just didnt want to remain somewhere i couldnt ever play it [VBJ] at all"

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  5. Have you ever taken a democratic vote in here about playing VBJ all day?

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  6. Tony, I am happy for you that maybe at last you have found the safe place to live that you have been looking for for so long. What concerns me is that once again you had a panic attack and tried to run away like you always do after a loss, and a few hours later you do another completely irrational thing, and sign a long term contract for accomodation, which is far more than you usually pay. With the money automatically being deducted from your bank card, how do you stop this if you have a sudden downswing and your bankroll takes a nosedive? What will stop you from running away again and leaving behind a financial obligation that is automatically being deducted until there is nothing left in your bank?

    You have always said that you want a nice safe place to grind away at Bovada, is this it? Maybe you just need to relax in your new home for a week or so and just grind away, without having the stress of martingalling your ass off to drag yourself out of the hole when you have the inevitable long series of losses that cause you to blow up.

    Anyway I leave Australia for Los Angeles tomorrow night, connecting with a flight there to take me straight to New Orleans for 4 nights and then I will be arriving at Circus Circus about ten am Sunday morning Oct. 19. Thanks for sending me your new phone number, what will be the best time to give you a call on Sunday so I can catch up with you? Take care.

    Koala

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    Replies
    1. Okay, continue to bury your head in the sand because you really don't comprehend the problem here, Tony. Of course you don't see the problem because the roll is flush and you've got some new digs to live in.

      What is the problem? It's not how you play AK. It's not the machines. It's how you approach life and the process of living. You and Koala (when he gets here) should consider maybe going out to Red Rocks or Valley of Fire and walk around, look at the beauty of nature and take some photos. I'll even pack a picnic lunch for you guys and drop you off with a few bottles of water by the visitors center. It should not be ALL about the gambling.

      And if you made that dental appointment that Koala asked you to make, I'll give you guys a lift. Just tell me what day because I have some work being done to my place. We can barbeque some mashed potatoes afterwards by the pool.

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    2. Hey Alysia -- could you shoot me a direct message on twitter or send me an e mail (addy in a link on my blog)? tyia

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    3. "You and Koala (when he gets here) should consider maybe going out to Red Rocks or Valley of Fire and walk around, look at the beauty of nature and take some photos."

      I told Tony that even though I don't like to drive in the USA, I was thinking of hiring a car for about a week from November 5 and driving down to Laughlin and into Arizona to tour around that State. I offered to take him along, and asked him if he was interested in sharing hire car costs. I didn't get any reply from him.

      I haven't mentioned the dental appointment again to him. As I told him it was a "one time offer", but he had to do the work of making the appointment and any follow up appointments for dental work to be done. I don't mind helping him, but I'm not going to chase his ass all over Las Vegas, and try and force him to do something that he knows has to be done. It's his problem, not mine. I gave him three weeks notice to do something about it.

      Anyway I fly out of Perth, Western Australia tonight. I have a four hour stopover in Sydney on the East Coast, then on to LA, with another stopover there of another four hours, then another three and a half hour flight to New Orleans. Close to 30 hours of travel and stopovers before I finally arrive in New Orleans.

      But I don't mind. I'm alive, feeling good for the first time in almost a year of medical treatments, and looking forward to some pleasant time with whoever wants to catch up with me.

      Koala

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  7. "[M]ost people store something like this [pots, pans, silverware] in a vehicle and thats why they keep these type of items for the long term."

    Have we really become so use to wading into Tony's absurd alternative universe that statements like this no longer even draw comments?

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  8. i have an extra commode and ironing board on the back seat of my vehicle, because my Giraffe takes up too much room in the trunk.

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  9. i have an extra commode and ironing board on the back seat of my vehicle, because my Giraffe takes up too much room in the trunk.

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  10. i keep an extra commode and ironing board on the back seat of my vehicle, because my Giraffe takes up so much room in the trunk

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  11. i transferred over the old data as best as i could, so my winrate is now $12 an hour. of course, for vegas alone, it wouldnt be positive. so im not sure what ill do to earn money. i think ill move out when my time is up and go back to reno, by then koala will be long gone home.

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  12. Tony........ Keith and Todd are very proud of your new penthouse apt. in Vegas. They are happy that you are so happy now! They now want updates on your VBJ success rate and winning percentage! Shall i tell the old gang your considering a move again soon?

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  13. I feel like i am talking to the addiction and not my old buddy Tony! hmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm

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  14. How long a lease have you signed on your new place ? Do you intend to keep paying Vince when you leave ?

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  15. Can we see some pictures of the new place?

    Also, how long of a lease did you sign? Lovely that you are already talking about moving again only weeks later.

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  16. Tony, don't over react now. You may need a nanny, after a long day on video slots it would be much more relaxing to be bottle fed don't you think! After all Tony this is why you chose to stay in Vegas right! Video slots, this is what you want buddy.

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  17. If you win big on VBJ and VP next month you can hire a molly maid, this would take care of any sprains n stains that could occur!

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  18. am happy to report that after 2 good days of wins at the nugget, im back to the $12000s again from the $11,000s

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  19. also, i dont know why koala isnt reading his email

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  20. the south point has a freeroll for 100,000.

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  21. You played at Planet Hollywood? I thought you were banned from Harrahs/Caesars properties and the one time AlaskaGal got you an exception was a one time thing??? Is the ban lifted?

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  22. My total poker wins are over $11,000 since going to reno in april. Ive spent over $7000 to live or more since and i started with $3000. So i should have over $7000 instead i have over $14,000. Thats proof the missing income has to be wins at vbj

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    Replies
    1. You haven't spent more than 7k to live since April.

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    2. this is totally not true, i spent at least $1000 a month in reno to live during april thru august, and ive spent another $2000 to live on in oct, including initial move in costs, other related expenses, and then another $1000+ during september. its more likely ive spent $10,000, dont forget things like $200 cab rides too.

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