Sunday, March 29, 2015

I'm still better off playing live poker than online (hourly rate)

i've passed over 1600 hours played since last May (in qualifying games only) and i'm still over $15 an hour at $1-2 NL. in fact with recent big winning sessions, its closer to $16 an hour than it is to $14 an hour. Hopefully by the time it hits 5000 hours, ill be over $20 an hour.

new roll is $9407. But i hate to admit ive lost back all the money on Bovada except for $20. at one brief point the other day, i was at $400 even on Bovada. I think all my free time should be spent playing live $1-2 NL instead of online and all my online play should only be done when i am at home for legitimate reasons. (like being done playing live for the night, updating the blog, etc). i also think i should NEVER play BJ on Bovada, and limit my play to don sngs and omaha8 tournys. playing BJ on bovada, and playing cash is where about $80 of my losses went. and also i dont keep a big enough balance on there.

i did well the last time in the $1-2 mix game at the atlantis. $50 min buyin $500 max buyin. 15 different games in the mix, all of which are $1-2 PL (not limit, not no limit). my question is, tomorrow is the game at 3pm. i should be there. but should i buyin $50 (limit my risk and variance) or buyin for more--because i could potentially do well and win big in that game? i think i already know which option ill pick however. i dont like risk. i think thats why im a winner overall.

a key hand Vince keeps telling me to post on this blog was when i got dealt A2346 my first 5 cards in a game they called Tahoe, which is actually stud 8 with one discard out of the 4 u get dealt. on 4th street a guy bets $15 a few of us call. on 5th street, the guy with immediate position on me has 225 showing and is first to act. he bets $60, 3-4 people call, and i shove for $186 allin. he goes allin also for over $500, one guy calls, and one extremely short stacked guy calls. an off duty dealer laid down a345 knowing the other 4 deuces were all out. i was concerned he was drawing for a wheel, but he had 55522 and i was safe for half the pot. and the game immediately broke at the end of that hand.

and im still thinking i better hook up Charter cable at home instead of satellite internet. i want the maximum usage possible, and the strongest signal possible. i want a company that dont make u commit to a year (like att does). one with no commitment, and a powerful signal. besides doing it this way is still cheaper than the $90 a month with verizon. the reason some of us prefer verizon is u can use it anywhere, including outside or a bus or train or car.

today i left the casino after id turned my $65 buyin into $377, then dropped it down to $307. another hand history ill post is one in which i had JJ and feel i shouldve committed to a decision on the flop. he calls my $21 preflop and i feel like he mightve been thinking of reraising, but he probably wasnt.

flop comes K53 all in hearts and i have the jack of hearts. i check, he bets about $35 and I call and again i fear hes thinking of raising. turn comes offsuit 8 and i check. he bets $50. what would u do?

i call, and river comes offsuit 10. i check, he bets $100. i think, ask if he will show, he says not a word. finally i fold and he shows 22, with one heart for a bluff.

i'm doing the right thing living cheaply in reno and playing poker--and if i hung around for a year im sure id earn about $30-40k with about $20k of it in the bank still within a year. but i sure wish there was a casino with a decent VBJ machine here. if i had a car, i could consider north lake tahoe (or fernley) as here. without a car--i cant. it wont work.

36 comments:

  1. scratch this fucking post, i lost $237 in the game with the luckiest donkey in it and at one point i was less than $20 from being even. started the night off losing 2 buyins in 15 minutes. one with ak to aj who called $45 allin preflop, and the 2nd with aj when i flopped two pair to a lady holding the 86 of hearts.

    was so pissed when i left, the donkey was so horrible at poker, and i just couldnt get a hand. lost to him 3 times while he kept losing to the asian and the woman from the ladies tourny who canceled her plane to stay longer. so i sat at the VP 100 play machine on the way out the door, where i proceeded to lose $335 more.

    who is the bigger donkey is the real question. was it that guy who lost multiple rebuys and owned a ton of houses, a guy from Lebanon who got injured fighting ISIS, or was it me who had a lot more knowledge, but less judgement?

    Dont answer that question unless u can do it without being an asshole.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. hahahaha i love that 45 dollars in an all in

      Delete
    2. the guy who owns multiple houses is a winner at life.

      Delete
    3. hmmmmmmmmmmm yr the asshole/donkey

      Delete
    4. This comment has been removed by the author.

      Delete
    5. It's the house guy. Playing to low for the money he has. Strictly a pass time with disposable income that is purely for luck sake and has no effect on his station in life. Like a tank getting hit by a BB gun...very common.

      Delete
  2. then while playing on that machine, i had zero bills on me smaller than $100s 8 of which i was holding in my hand since id just stuck 1 additional into the machine to martingale a losing bet. (max bet is 500 credits of 10c for $50). Some mexican girl walked up to me and asked me for $1 for "bus fare". now we all know how this scam works. of course its not for bus fare, u see this all over the bridges and intersections of las vegas. everyone of them is being controlled by an abusive guy who makes them do it and turn over the money--none of them are really single, and if they are, they have a gay girlfriend and care nothing about u but lying to u for ur money. or else theyre so ugly and old no guy would want them.

    i told her all my own stress and problems and asked if i could get my $500 back, and she said all she could give me was a hug. i asked her if i could still get it without any money and surprisingly enough she did. what i shouldve done was ask for her email, but i doubt she checks her as often as i do if she even has one. not that she would be interested in me, but i bet she could find one who is with enough incentive. i've seen several woman in my area of town ive wondered if theyre with a guy or not, and i dont know anyone i can trust with my story, and i sure dont know how to find out if a woman is straight or gay. its too dangerous to ask a woman questions, theyre so controlled by these abusers who either get angry or want the women to set the guys up for a robbery.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Take them to your place and make a move on them. If their is a penis then obviously you need to stop. If their is no penis then put on a condom.

      Delete
  3. the new roll is $8837 and ive also only got $18 on bovada. going to sleep now and maybe will be in the $1-2 mix game at the atlantis 3pm or so when i wake up. still need ideas of what to buyin for. i cant afford to but i feel now like buying in BIG

    ReplyDelete
  4. "i'm still over $15 an hour at $1-2 NL. in fact with recent big winning sessions, its closer to $16 an hour than it is to $14 an hour. Hopefully by the time it hits 5000 hours, ill be over $20 an hour."

    Serious question for you, Tony: Can you do the arithmetic to calculate how much you would need to average over the next 3400 hours in order to have an average of $20/hour at the 5000 hour mark? What is the answer you get?

    ReplyDelete
  5. Replies
    1. Yes. Now for the big question: What makes you think that you can suddenly improve your average hourly win rate by about 50%?

      Delete
    2. Well, that would be easy because Tony has been running really unlucky the first 1600 hours. You know, losing lots of big 4 figure pots as 70%+favorite. Oh wait, I think Tony has included a bunch of high hand bonuses because he got really lucky in some of the promos. Hmm, it is gonna be tough.

      Delete
    3. i doubt i got back much more on promos than the rake i paid overall. its really a nonfactor. i do know i often didnt play well, so ill do a lot better over a longer sample size. buying in for larger amounts will really help it grow too.

      Delete
    4. But you are too scared to buy in for larger amounts!

      Delete
    5. I am sure plenty of others will note your comment here makes no sense Tony. You say the promos = the rake you have paid so are a non factor. Does that mean you will not be paying rake in the future and this will be increasing your hourly? My only advice is $15/hr at poker is way better than the -$15/ hour+ you are losing at everything else. Remember even if you lose $150 at poker in a session, in the long run that will come back. $500 into a machine is gone forever.

      Delete
  6. Tony - finally a hand history:

    "he bets $50. what would u do?
    i call, and river comes offsuit 10. i check, he bets $100. i think, ask if he will show, he says not a word. finally i fold and he shows 22, with one heart for a bluff."

    So you call a $50 turn bet for what reason? What about the off suit 10 don't you like that you fold to a T river but call an 8 turn? Do you put him on T8? T5? T3? 2 hearts less than a Jack? Kx with no heart? Did you feel like you were drawing in the hand to the K J high flush? Or did you feel like you were ahead the whole time but the T somehow changed the texture of the hand?

    I'm not going to commit to an answer about your turn call, but I will say that you're making a huge mistake calling the turn and folding the river. I think if you call the turn you *HAVE TO* call the river! Especially when the river is a card under your JJ. What was your thinking at the time?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. that if i called the turn, and he was bluffing, that he would give up the bluff on the river instead of firing 3 barrels

      Delete
    2. you see tony you forget not everyone plays like you and some people will actually grab their balls and follow through on a bluff

      Delete
    3. Tony, I think you played that JJ hand poorly on all streets, starting with a too large preflop raise, giving up the lead on the flop, and check calling without a clear plan.

      Delete
    4. So Pokerdogg, I agree with everything you said except for the too large preflop raise. Why do you feel he opened too large PF? He leaves out critical details such as how many people were in the pot already (limpers), position, whether he was 3betting to $21, etc.

      All of that said, I'm of the mindset that if you can make a value raise PF, make it for as large as possible. If you can get a PF call of $50 with AA, make your raise $50! Generally, most hands don't get past the flop, so your PF bet is your one chance to get the value from your hand. As a matter of point, I always keep my raises on the larger size - if I don't get a call, so be it. My goal is to get one fish heads up and not get into a multi-way pot on the flop. I *WANT* a 70/30 - or even better, an 80/20 situation like Tony's hand history above - seeing a flop with 4:1 stack to pot ratio - $42+ in the pot with $160 behind...

      Delete
    5. Yes, Tony left out lots of crucial details as usual, and I commented with certain assumptions such as they are playing 100bb deep, Tony open raised and there was only one caller, in position. Does Tony ever 3bet w JJ?

      I agree in general, raise to what the table would bear. Of course, I would love to get callers at $50 with AA. Problem is, a question of balance. I don't want to raise differently based on my hand, and I want to raise variety of hands, so I want a raise size that I would be comfortable with across my entire raising range.

      Problem with a big raise out of position with JJ is precisely that, a SPR of 4 even if you get heads up. Any lead bet on the flop gets you close to pot commitment, and more times than not, you are going to have overcard(s) on the flop. When the SPR is higher, you get more flexibility on how to play the hand in tricky spots.



      Delete
  7. Tony, do you understand that there are people who would help you, who actually would give a shot if you lived or died but the gambling is a monkey on your back that you need to ditch? It feeds your anger. It feeds your resentment. It feeds your negative emotions. Stop gambling. Stop the poker, stop the machines, stop the compulsive behavior and get yourself healthy. You've been on this stupid carousel for how many years now? Time to get off.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yeah some of us after many years of this crap are rooting for him to go busto

      Delete
  8. Tony will never get off AC, we all know that.

    ReplyDelete
  9. "so lets hope nothing goes seriously wrong and that i start recovering, now that i have a stable place to live, am finally nowhere near any of those VBJ machines, and will be just playing poker."

    Tony, you made the above comment in your last post just a couple of days ago and now in this post you say,

    "but i sure wish there was a casino with a decent VBJ machine here."

    Serious question Tony, Do you ever go back and read what you wrote just a couple of days ago?

    When you write contradictatory statements like this, you come across as a complete and utter idiot. You have been doing this on a consistent basis over the years, and it makes it almost impossible to believe anything you say in terms of trying to better yourself. The only person you are fooling is yourself. Every person who reads your blogs knows that within a week and probably much less, you will be back donking off your roll on VBJ .

    So my second question to you, is why do you make these ridiculous and stupid statements when you know 100% that you will do the exact opposite?

    You know that as soon as you hit a brick wall playing poker, you will head for the nearest VBJ or slot machine. So what goes through your extremely high IQ brain that makes you come up looking like a neanderthal who just crawled out of his cave and is seeing a vbj machine for the first time in his life when you do things like this?

    Especially when those of us with low IQs don't behave in this manner, and have told you repeatedly, "Do not play the machines."

    ReplyDelete
  10. Has the idea to go see a movie or maybe go for a run after a session ever crossed your mind? There needs to be processing.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. hmmmmmmmm NEVER. ding ding no1 answer

      Delete
    2. i dont quit til im too tired to do anything but go home and sleep usually. the more hours i put in at $15+ per hour the better off i will be in the long run.

      Delete
  11. "I also think i should NEVER play BJ on Bovada." You think? Why in the world would you ever play BJ on Bovada? USA doesn't regulate their software. Might as well just burn the money before depositing it on Bovada to play BJ.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. if they dont cheat on their poker software, why would they on their BJ software?

      Delete
    2. They collect the rake in poker but in the casino games you are playing against Bovada itself! I'm not saying they cheat but there is no accountability and how can you have a piece of mind if they are not regulated in the US.

      Delete