Sunday, November 29, 2015

2 poker bluffs

U might think i'm not accomplishing anything here in Deadwood since i stepped off the plane in Rapid city with $19,800+ and now only have $16,077. U might wonder why, if i wanted to leave foxwoods, why i didnt just return to atlantic city where i was living for not over $300 a week with free play of close to $100 per week. and where there was always very good games at the borgata 24-7. (the VBJ there at the Trop sucks and so does the 3 card poker--and i didnt want to play it is why.) i prefer to look at things this way--think of how much less than $16,000 i might have today if id continued to stay out on the east coast and play $2-5, live BJ, or a much worse machine than the VBJ in deadwood (and the UTHE machine).

I'm only typing this blog up because its long overdue, and im in the middle of the $10 NL o8 tourny on bovada. i withdrew $168 from there for my 1 withdrawal a month for nov, still enroute, and still have $439 remaining, so not too bad considering its off $150 deposit. I'm extremely lucky this option still exists for us. it might not too much longer.

would like to discuss 2 hands im proud of how i played. one of them took place at cadillac jacks, where the drawing was taking place where 5 out of the 72 tickets in the drum would win $1000 each. i never got called, and because some didnt show, about 12 names were called instead of 5, but never mine. i was hoping to play $2-100 spread limit til the final name was drawn at midnight, but the game was quite shorthanded the whole time, and broke by 10.30pm. so i had to kill a little time. 2 of the guys were on the trolley with me, and had come up from CO together out of fort collins.

id been playing pretty normal and went from being down my first $100 buyin early to being up $130 to giving some back. this guy was NOT thinking id bluff. i'm not sure but i think of my biggest errors in games is limping too much with non-garbage hands but hands worth seeing a flop. i limp too often. who will cure me of that? how can i be sure im really doing that wrong? thats why i wanted to investigate advanced poker training.com

limped with TJ offsuit 4 handed on the button. flop comes 479 with 2 clubs. 2 check, i bet $5 one caller. turn comes Q putting 2 different flush draws on board. he checks, i bet $15. he calls. what do u put him on? i put him on some sort of draw. river comes ace, neither flush draw. i worry im beat but without him being too strong.

so what would u do? i bet $35, showed it, knowing game was almost over. i stole it. he never expected it and now wants to reevaluate how i play.

2nd hand was 2 hours later at saloon #10. its a full table, and im aware of who thinks im too tight as much as ive advertised it. its the loosest action here in deadwood, much more so than the silverado. multi way action for calling raises preflop here. $2-10 limit might be the cause of this. or the large number of those who come there just to drink (why their BJ tables are so full when their BJ game sucks).

so i had J6 offsuit, and am in the SB. only 1 caller, and i limped too specifically due to not having nothing to play and hearing the loose cowboy rancher next to me with his friends say he wanted to double down whose been drinking. flop totally misses me, Q58 with 2 spades. i check, he bets $10 max, 3rd guy folds. i put him on nothing but 8-3 or 5-6. so i call, just to possibly bluff. i have zero outs i can make. i know he will think i hit something. turn comes 9 for possible flush. i bet $10, sure enough, he mucks the winner, K2. he didnt expect the bluff either, i think i played BOTH hands well.

think of how low my roll would be though had i not been in on the $1968 players share BBJ the other week.

once i got down to $15,300+ i quit ever betting more than 1% of the roll divided among 5 spots because i was worried id go broke overbetting my edge if one exists. so the most i can now bet is $160 total for all spots combined. which is done extremely rarely. early on this trip, i sometimes had 5 spots up to $99 max each. that could be why im down so much. so far its working, (roll hasnt fell below it).

going to Toledo and living with Ray might also be a way to control costs as far as living expenses too. i wish i wouldnt feel so broke considering how much poorer i used to be. its just i think im on the way down instead of up, and that effects things.



25 comments:

  1. I have been thinking that you need to add me to your BOA and Wells-Fargo accounts. That way, at least someone will be able to access the money after Ray's friends roll and kill you. Makes sense, right?

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    1. how would the money be left AFTERWARDS?

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    2. I don't need your money. But when you croak, I would put it to good use.

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    3. We could have a wake in Las Vegas using Tony's money.

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  2. Pride goeth before destruction, and an haughty spirit before a fall.

    Proverbs 16:18

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  3. lets talk about some goals id like to accomplish in my life. my main goal shouldnt be to forever live in deadwood within the casino without running out of money--and never have to deal with anymore travel.

    miss the days i were young (19-25) women wanted me (as long as they were 10-15 yrs older) but i never once got to have any type of relationship with one close to my age. i dont want one my age now, id prefer one younger. i shouldve not found it interesting older women were interested. but if ur under 21, thats a definitive target for women in their 30s. but what it did is cause me to start and still be in a weird life, without learning any type of experience in how to make a women happy. without ever having a home, car, family, (not a son and mom but a real family complete with wife) a family that dont have authority over me like mom does in her house, but one im the boss of like a normal man. i'd like a wife, dog, cat, house, car, etc. i lost $228 tonight on the VBJ, i dont really think i want to be here forever after all. id like to before all this money disappears, buy a vehicle, and pay to learn to drive. then i still could have free housing (anywhere in the country near any poker room) and keep tons of bottled waters and can goods for in the event of any emergencies that could last a few months. i'd like to learn how to accomplish that because im not sure. all i know to do it, is to keep trying to grow the roll, and this dont seem to be growing the roll. its maintening the roll, but getting nowhere. and the older i get the much harder it will be. no man can survive when over 70 without a woman to take care of and look after him.

    to me the core family is the husband and wife, not the kids. without the wife, u feel abondened, which i do since sues still living in the group home without any real life or freedom due to her schizophrenia. she will be in there for life. but i want to hear a women say they love me. shes the only one who ever said it, really meant it, and cried when she couldnt see me. at least til the black guy came into her life 2 yrs later on. the one who got shot by the police and killed. a relationship is meaningless unless a women says they love u. dating, sex its all worthless and i guess its why i dont bother much to find it. all that really means anything is a women walking with u, holding ur hand, any saying they love u, and women have no interest in those things. and a women who puts their kids over the man they are going out with and living with, isnt a good quality moral women, thats for sure

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    1. Dude. No woman is going to want you. You are boring and uninteresting. All you think about is gambling. What woman is going to be with a man who has no interesting qualities?

      Also, you are poor. What woman is going to want to be with a deadbeat guy who will not spend money on them? You obsess over spending money. That is not an attractive quality for a woman.

      Also, you do not look after yourself. You don't practice good hygiene. You don't take care of your clothes. You don't keep yourself well groomed. What woman is going to want to date someone who is physically unattractive to their senses? If you look and/or smell like shit, no woman is going to want to date you.

      Also, you cannot be bothered to take care of your own basic needs. You don't get your health care needs taken care of. You don't take care of any of your paperwork. How are you actually going to own a house or a car? How are you going to manage to take care of those things, maintain and repair them, do all of the paperwork that comes with them?

      You need to be an adult. Right now you are just looking for a woman to take care of you. That is called a MOTHER, not a girlfriend. You already have one of those. She lives in Lyons, Kansas. You should go live with her. She will take care of you and tell you she loves you.

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    2. Start by getting a learners permit in the state where you want to learn to drive. That will require you actually staying in one state for a period of time. Best of luck, you probably don't have the documents required to get one in any state except LA.

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    3. no man can survive when over 70 without a woman to take care of and look after him.

      I'm divorced and doing just fine.

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    4. If one of us needs taken care of when we get old, I want to be the one taking care of my wife, not the other way around. I think most people who love their spouse would want the same thing.

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    5. One of the very few times when I agree 100% with Iron Mike Sharpe. Tony if you want to succeed in life, you should carry a copy of everything that Iron Mike Sharpe has written in this post, and read it over and over every day of your life, and then act on it.

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    6. @iIron Mike PREACH!!!!!!!!!!!
      But he wont Koala . u know that

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    7. Man, I wish I had a wife too. My place is a mess and I need laundry done, snowboard waxed, Christmas presents mailed out and I'm dying for meatloaf and mashed potatoes when I come home from playing poker. Instead I'm doing it all myself. It would also be nice if she knew how to make a decent boulevardier with the correct ice and could do taxes. This sucks.

      If you find a woman willing to do all this, ask if she has a brother...or sister.

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    8. @Alysia....I will do all that plus sex u up on demand once you give me the keys and sign at least one year contract, plus as added benefit I will rub your neck, back and anything else. BUT you will have to teach me to make a boulevardier

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    9. Hold on. You know to wax a snowboard AND make mashed potatoes????!!!!

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  4. Tony, please go live with Ray. I think that is a great idea. Imagine how much you will grow spiritually, you may really become a good christian and be saved in the apocalypse. He can also teach you to drive since he already drives everywhere already.

    I typed up a long response to your comment about women but I deleted it since I think you did a perfect job summarizing women the relationship and what a real man should expect. Good luck sir.

    MIV

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  5. Tony, both of your "bluffs" are standard plays, not ground breaking poker possibilities. The first guy bet is flush draw and missed and you made the smart river bet knowing a non flush big card hit the river. The second guy had K high. You could have bet a bottle cap and he would have folded. And stop showing your "bluffs". Remain mysterious.

    Go find consistent housing and grind your game. You know you can do it.

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    1. no those arent standard plays. almost no one else would ever stay in with J6 offsuit on a flop of 58Q for the sole purpose of bluffing the turn. wonder if pokerdogg has?

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    2. no those arent standard plays. almost no one else would ever stay in with J6 offsuit on a flop of 58Q for the sole purpose of bluffing the turn. wonder if pokerdogg has?

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    3. Tony is right, you know. No one has ever in the history of poker called on the flop in order to bluff the turn.

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    4. I would never have called with J6 in SB in the first place. As far as floating the flop in order to steal the turn, that is pretty standard play.

      I find it funny you made your play based on comment of a drunk guy. He said he should double down and you think he meant his cards add up to 11, when in fact it doesn't. He was probably was just being funny (to his drunken mind) and you totally misinterpreted it. He could just as easily have Q2 and never fold to you bluff, it being a 2-10 spread limit game.

      I think you played that hand badly even though it worked.

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  6. Woe to you, oh earth and sea
    For the Devil sends the beast with wrath
    Because he knows the time is short
    Let him who hath understanding
    Reckon the number of the beast
    For it is a human number
    Its number is six hundred and sixty six

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  7. At what point do you start to think that maybe you're wrong about your assumption that the machine doesn't shuffle each round?

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    1. when chaperone on RTP who as we all know isnt a supporter claims u are right. he turned a profit due to it NOT shuffling every round.

      explain how lying about when it shuffles would be legal. it can legally not tell u when it shuffles, but it cant lie about when. would it be legal for a vp machine to pay even money for 2 pair or better if it claims it pays 2-1?

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    2. Since you're so sure it's illegal to misrepresent the shuffle point, then you can tell me which law applies from the NGC code.

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