Monday, May 30, 2016

not what i expected

u would think it would benefit me to know that, if im going to play BJ, it would be better to be where all the negative counts will be $1 bets (or 2-3 hands of $1 each). (no more live shoes where the min bet is $5 or $10) but the problem here is two-fold. for one this machine is often full til 3-8am or so. not like the gold strike, (which presumably might be like anza or turtle creek as far as desertion.) no idea if NM is deserted or not and i could be guessing wrong on turtle creek. but i hate not having 3 or 5 spots with only me on it.

and the bigger issue is they hide the shuffle point. now on the shufflemaster machines, with 66% penetration of 4 of 6 decks, this isnt so big of deal and i can get an idea of the count using the red 7s method. which i would assume would work for 4 decks as well as 6, but since its shuffling much sooner, not sure if im adjusting correctly. and the comp rate is hideously low.. only got about $3 or so worth both days for what i ran thru it.

i might be losing due to betting too much, far above what i should be then again, if the machines mostly full, u cannot spread ur risks by betting on the other players back bets. almost 100% make quite a few errors and most are so major u dare not risk betting on them. standing on soft 5 or 6, splitting 4 against 10, doubling on hard 7, standing 13 vs 8 etc. theyre all so dumb. same error every time, especially standing on a soft 4, 5, or 6. none of whom use players cards though they might be confused by the sign it gives "no points". this same sign threw me off in circus too. but it gives comps. not nearly as high as circus.

and i wont get mailers because i dont know what to use for the address, and i wouldnt be back for them no way. so this wont work too well for me longterm.

for the last 8 days ive been adding 1/1000th to the roll every day by withdrawing bitcoin and having it sent to my bank account. so far its been $143 worth. this should be increasing it by 1% every 10 days, (until my access to bitcoin runs out--either thru bovada winnings or the money sitting on bitzino) (BJ site where theres money sitting previously withdrew, about $400 worth as much as bitcoins been rising so quick last 48 hours)

hotel rooms in lake charles appear fairly high too, no uber there either, no bank of america, and the 2 cheaper by the week prospects are much further out from the casino. sure would like something within walking distance, or transportation to it. it might not been good to leave shreveport, unless id gone to a better location. i intended not to end up here, but in biloxi. no decent VBJ in biloxi either.



21 comments:

  1. so... if your roll dips below $10K I think you need to take a vacation and go home to Kansas for a few weeks??? When was the last time that you were home for the father's day holiday???

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  2. You are getting warmer to a 60 an hour machine, and a dentist who works practically for free. Will Tony make it, or will he blow it all at the horrible VBJ machine? Tune in next week!

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    Replies
    1. Spoiler alert: He continues to lose at VBJ and never makes it to the dentist.

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    2. Ummm ... I thought you said this was a spoiler. It's just business as usual. Run along - nothing to see here.

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  3. I still can't get over the fact that Tony lost $6k in 2 days of blackjack...

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    1. have u never read this blog b4????////

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  4. If you are thinking Turtle Creek is in the U.P. it is not. However, it is in a VERY popular summer tourist destination. Check the $$'s for accommodations before you leap.

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    Replies
    1. this one motel is $300 weekly (kingsley motel)

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    2. That would be quite the bus rides. 1 hour to T.C., transfer, 1 hour to casino. Bus runs from around 6 a.m. to 8:30 p.m. The hotel itself would be fine, but really in the middle of nowhere.

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  5. Tony: if youre earning such a miniscule comp rate on the machine, how can it possibly be +EV?

    And, if its not +EV, what is your rationale for playing it?

    s.i.

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    Replies
    1. well, it keeps me from playing higher stakes table BJ. and i do think it might be possible to gain a very tiny edge just by betting bigger the hands immediately following ones using up many little cards. plus it might be giving me free rooms

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    2. Tony, you are doing an amazing job finding +EV games and manipulating them to make them even more +EV for you. You could write a book about how to make money and get free rooms with a small roll. You could single handedly solve the unemployment issue in the U.S. Before I finish up on the job site I am on this weekend and give up plumbing forever and become and AP can you tell me what kind of dege your would have on a six deck game with an unknown shuffle point when only tracking the previous hand? You know I am looking just to make sure I run the numbers before I retire from plumbing.

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  6. Is this what you want out of life? You live such a depressing cycle of fear and stress. You didn't get dealt the best hand in life Tony but you sure have made it worse all by yourself which is how you will end up - all by yourself.

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  7. You said you were going to be rich if you stayed in Shreveport. What happened?

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  8. I can't even believe you are still talking blackjack strategy when you are probably down $20k the past couple of months. that's absurd.

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  9. Gambler's Anonymous stat. Seriously.

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  10. Stop focusing on "comps"! Comps are a perk for disciplined winners to use to buy food and the occasional free or discounted rooms. You are obsessed with them.
    Take a piece of paper and write down 5 problems you have with your poker game. Research on the Internet and actually be honest about it and you might get somewhere.

    Stop playing Reverse ATMs (machines) and blackjack.

    Say it with me "I cannot beat blackjack, the house has an advantage"

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  11. You must stay on the BJ train... it's the only way. You can do it. Remember, no one likes a quitter!

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