Sunday, September 25, 2016

I know it would be a dumb idea, but i keep feeling like i want to leave.

so why do i feel this way? its not because i dont have cheap housing, although when u consider cab fees back and forth every day, i spend over half on them as i do on rent. it not because the games here are bad. its not because this isnt a good place to live longer term, with good promotions and benefits. (the upcoming october freeroll for example).

IM NOT WINNING HERE ANYMORE. not like i was back in April/May. over $9000 in april, over $5000 in may, before i went to coushatta about june 1. with tonights $400 loss, im up only about $1000 for the entire month, and almost all of this came from the BBJ winnings. my hourly is about $5-6 hour for this month, and would be $2 per hour without the BBJ. I DONT LIKE TO BE LIVING WHERE IM NOT WINNING.

but if i leave before the freeroll ill miss out on $115 per week in promo chips, (at least thru the end of Oct) and the $500 for being in the top 60 hours paid out to everyone who also gets in the freeroll tourny. top 30 hours even get $1000. top 100 in hours get the freeroll.

I enjoyed the game tonight, but i couldnt win. showed a beautiful women named Misty whose a regular my blog, who like me spends lots of her time playing poker. works for the TV station, and talked for a while. now thats the type of girl i wish i had in my life. she was telling another regular how its hard to meet others when all she does when not working is play poker. wish i knew how to find her plentyoffish profile, (shes got this app on her cell).

let me tell u some hand histories, and u guys tell me if played them poorly.

late in the evening, right before i left, i had recently gotten moved to a new table. just went from 3 tables to 2 about 4.30 am. this was a loose guy, especially from the guy in seat 2 making tons of action. id just lost a pot to him and wanted to get back the $250+ i was still out so i could go home to sleep. i need to take notes like Rob does, because i forgot the hand id just lost.

by the way he was taking forever to finish the hand. quite often. too much beer. the really funny thing was he was so drunk he drank out of the bottle next to him the guy was storing his spit in.

so im dealt AK, and the whole table limps or folds $3 to me. i know only KK or AA dominate me, so im hoping for a call against the drunk guy with a weaker king or ace. the hand before he called some big bets pre and post which id lost. come to think of it i just remember the hand i made it $17 with aq, he makes it $50 with 44. one other guy calls, flop comes 667, he bets $35 allin, i call, other guy folds, and i missed.

so i shove $380 allin, and he thinks forever, then calls $172, everyone else folds, as id hoped. he has 94 of diamonds. then he got lucky and outdrew me. this is when i swore id go on my BB. yes the games good but ive lost enough, and im tired. he went broke in the next 5 hands too.

on a different table earlier (before i moved to omaha8 $10-20--and recovered $170) i was dealt 99 preflop. no one raised. flop comes 843, both blinds check, guy under the gun bets $10. i bet $25 only the SB calls, and the guy UTG bets $21 more allin. well im not sure what the SB has, but i feel obligated to find out and call the other guy since hes got not much more and so much is in the pot. instead of calling, i reraise again to $25 more to find out the strength of the limper. he then shoves allin for $70 more, so i fold, thinking i found out. turns out i read him pretty well, he had what he thought was the winner, he wasnt bluffing. problem is he had ace 8. i knew he had top pair top kicker or better, and this was the ONLY hand i could beat, so most of the time it wouldve been a good fold, hard to see how i played it poorly.

another time i had 45 suited. flop comes Q34, only 1 of my suit. i call the bet from the asian lady other end of table who made it $8 preflop. Misty behind me calls too. (with 56) turn comes A putting 3rd club on the board. asian lady checks, i bet $25, misty calls. asian calls. i feel theyre weak and wouldve raised me if they turned the flush. i put the asain lady on JJ with one club, or something very much like it. river comes 6 no club. asain checks, i bet $65, both fold, misty hitting 6 on end to win if she calls,  the asian lady sure looked like she folded the winner once i showed. one lucky bluff i succeeded on.






28 comments:

  1. I'm flying to Melbourne Australia tomorrow. There are Business Class seats available for $11727. You can go to the AFL Grand Final with me. I have a spare ticket. Top price $400. Free accommodation and you can play poker at Crown Casino. Ten days.... Just think of it!

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    1. Tony's head would explode when he sees how much rake they collect in Australia.

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  2. Just my take on the hands you mentioned. Others may differ.

    #1: Your first big mistake was an oldie but goodie: wanting to get unstuck. So there was a pot of around $15-$20 and you monkey-shoved $380 with A-K? Sheesh.

    #2: I had difficulty following what you wrote, but it looks to me that there was about $93 in the pot, you had an overpair and folded for $70 more?

    #3: You may be crowing about this hand, but it seems to me that you were loose and reckless. I think you got lucky that the bluff worked. And once again you showed the bluff, thinking you would show everyone what a great player you think you are, meanwhile giving them information on your play that you didn't need to give.

    Tony, if those hands are an example of how you have been playing there, I think you are fortunate that the sockroll didn't take a bigger hit this past month.

    Anyone else? Anyone? Bueller? Bueller?

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    1. im sure most people (except the trolls on this blog) but the good grinders out there who make a living exploiting their opponents tendencies and mistakes would think i made an excellent decision in exploiting my opponent, getting him to commit $172 as a 70/30 or 65/35 underdog. my bad luck his hand didnt contain at least 1 ace or K, then he would be drawing much thinner. Being able to recognize how to set up these type of situations is what makes me more intelligent than u guys who dont get ur living from playing NL. hand 2, maybe i shouldve called, but i correctly read him for thinking he was in the lead with a strong hand. now i admit play #1 wouldnt work in most situations. but u need to know how to recognize those situations, and how to create them. quit being results oriented.

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    2. Have you considered against a player that bad you can do better than getting AI as only a 60/40 favorite?

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    3. he wouldve lost his money to someone in the next 10 hands, this was my last chance of getting it. most of those hands id be folding of course, since its a full table. not like id be playing with him all day. i knew odds were no one would wake up this hand with aa or kk, and if they had a pair, i was willing to flip if need be. but i got just what i wanted just a lousy result.

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    4. I think the AK hand is horrible. You didn't mention stack sizes, # of limpers and positions as usual, but you are losing value versus making a regular raise and play post flop.

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    5. Re the A-K hand: Tony, I had a similar situation my last night in Las Vegas in August. I did the same thing and, as luck would have it, lost the pot. However, the difference is that I am a recreational poker player having fun in Las Vegas and was not going to have my life ruined if I lost a flip. Guys who are professionals, like you, who count every dime they gamble, are seemingly foolish and reckless to make such a play.

      Remember my last night in Las Vegas when we played at PH? Perhaps before you start crowing about your poker expertise you should remember that you were TWICE saved by sucking out on the river that night. PPP is convinced that you have a guardian angel. Since you spend your life gambling, is it not fair to speculate that your angel is really from the dark side -- provided by a goomer who is red, has a tail and holds a big pitchfork?

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  3. There is no place I know of where you will never have a losing stretch.

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  4. recovered $554 tonight then left. puts me back to $12,000. i couldnt keep playing with over $1000 in front of me with the drunk on my left who annoyed me, spilled his beer once,(on both of us) then complained i tipped ONLY $4, when i won a good pot off him. id been losing slowly to him til the very big pot where i flopped 222 and he paid me off with KK. on an ace 2 4 board at that. the potential flush on the river terrified me, but he called close to $400 check raise by me allin on the flop.

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    1. slight correction - you COULD have kept playing. You chose not to.

      s.i.

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  5. later today i can pick up my $34 in sams town free slot play, and my $115 promo chips in the El. then do the free slot tourny where 7 get paid for my higher level card.

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  6. Tony

    I think the shove with AK is fine but I would still prefer a large raise than a shove. This gives you multiple opportunities to win the pot without a showdown.
    The 9/9 is a call as no one raised preflop which makes 1010 plus unlikely. He could have a 2 pair type hand, but given his range v your over pair and the size of the pot, I think you win enough times to make the call profitable.

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    1. Great statement, Keith and me agree with this Tony! Finally GOOD advice that caught Keith's attention when he was reading this.

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    2. If more people had this strategy with AK they could turn their losers into winners just with that move. That was from Keith i just typed what he said Tony.

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    3. Once AK got recognized as not being a big favorite over two random cards you have to play the hand this way Tony. To where you make a big bet then move all in. Give yourself a second chance to get them out of the hand. Moving all in preflop gives them two chances to winning the hand. You could write a whole book on this concept Tony.

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    4. Basically you could write a book on how to just play AK alone.

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    5. no i dont wish to setup ways for me to outplayed later in the hand when i dont flop the A or K. better it be allin while im still got the edge.

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    6. U do luv winning those hands pre flop

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  7. Wow, I quit reading your blog a long time ago, but decided to see how you are doing. Glad to see you still have some money left, and still think you are the best in the world.

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  8. Tony

    Does you opponent know you have exactly AK? What do you do with AA and KK preflop? Do you shove all in also? If not your play is exploitable and you are telling your opponents exactly what you have.

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    1. of course i would, against an opponent u think will call. not against a different opponent who might fold. to get the most out of others who are exploitable, u need to be exploitable yourself

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  9. Thats funny I miss played my 9's too last Fri. Board came k high I was in late pos. I raised pre and announced I was leaving very soon. (I like to do that sometimes it induces loose action, I love action) I bet the flop 2/3 pot and was called 2x. Turns another k I check along with old dudes. River a blank first guy bets $25, second guy tanks and calls I fold pretty quickly after all I have to be pretty strong ro over call which I feel I am not. First guy had suited connectors pure bluff second guy had a 7. Flop was K,7,5-K-2. It happens whatever. As usual analysis after said events in question left me in regret of in this time folding. Cheers

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  10. Why are you still playing BJ and VP with a roll of only 12k, no stable place to live or without taking care of your health issues?

    Even given that you have an edge at the VP/BJ (not actually saying that you do even if you think you do) you need a much bigger roll to play these games even with your martingale loss chasing. You've been lucky simple variance hasn't bankrupted you.

    I think it's given you can make money in the 1-2 NL games even if your game is full of leaks because the players seem so much worst. I think you should devote 100% of your roll to poker and start making plans on how to fix the housing/medical issue that in turn will go a long way to fixing your relationship (lack thereof) issues.

    People have been saying it a long time and you keep ignoring it but it's still the advice you need to hear. Sometimes taking the hardest court of action actually means it's the right one.

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    1. i take issue with each of these statements. im not still playing VP or BJ, i do have a stable place to live, (though i might still go elsewhere instead of keep it) and i seen a dr and think i fixed the rr issue. but i do need to see the dentist still.

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    2. If you keep moving every month it's not considered stable. I'm glad you've seen a doctor and hope you can move on to the dentist next. I stand by the VP/BJ stuff you need to quit no matter what.

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  11. You can not always be winning and instead of quitting I suggest its time to up your poker skill sets. Try the by Advanced poker coaching http://www.yourdoompoker.com/ for some real hard core coaching. hope you start winning again.

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