Monday, August 7, 2017

am i making mistakes?

This time i really did move out of my other place after being there a little less than 7 weeks. i checked into the nugget for 2 nights, using the rest of my comps up. i've lost almost all of my last 6-7 sessions in the nugget, which is why im still behind well over $500 for august live poker, even with the $590 poker win in north LV, while in the Poker Palace with the duke of fremont. so i should be out of town before Friday. im down to $16,000 now from $19,200 so if i keep in town longer ill keep getting broker.

So now lets focus on why im not winning, and determine if its just the much higher quality opposition in vegas as compared to most other cities. Or if its something else. i did win in July but only $1291, not enough for the high cost of expenses.

i started off turning my $120 into $274 with back to back QQ. from there on out it was mostly all downhill. kept adding to my stack til eventually i left the table out $347 of the $3247 i had with me. thats when i went to check in to my room, and stop in the grill to take food with me to relax a few hours.

Koala came by for one final visit but i couldnt get him to play any poker. he claims he's "not a winning player" and would be stuck much more for his trip were it not for some BJ winnings. so basically he sits in his room most of the time.

heres some of the different hands i played. one hand theres one old man ive seen in here most of this week. im not sure how often he plays, dont remember him on previous trips. he often raises in the worst position possible preflop (which to me feels idiotic) in the BB or SB when its limped. problem is no one calls often enough to evaluate his hands. he does it to $12 with J9 offsuit i called with 55 near the button. how near, i dont remember exactly. flop comes 5J8 with 2 diamonds. he bets $15, i bet $45, and am surprised he calls, so im thinking he got a big pair or a flush draw. turn comes A with the 3rd diamond so i check along. i thought i might get check raised allin with money behind. probably should bet? K comes on the river, check check and im good. he only had J9 so i guess he mightve not paid me any more?

last night one guy from canada (who i originally mistook for a local in here everyday, then found out he wasnt him) when i bought in $3000 in $500 chips when i left the paigow table, ended up covering me in a few hours when he moved to my table and seen i was losing big. Richard moved to my table too, and hid his last name on his card. he seemed to know me wanted the seat on my left, played very weird and loose raising often, and i lost a big pot to him when he hits 2 pair on flop of K23 and i had top pair. i think he might be richard menzies on my facebook, his picture looks like him. i lost close to $400 luckily i didnt lose more. got pretty tired.

then one time i called $10 preflop with 3 others. flop comes A23 all in clubs. i had Q9 of clubs. he bets i raise he goes allin with AAA and im winning til the river which is the other 3.

once they see im on full tilt when i sucessfully see an easy bluff steal preflop with 94 offsuit (which worked and 3 folded once theyd originally called $8) i then get KK the very next hand. so i know ive got them setup perfectly to think im weaker. so i go allin blind preflop to get called loosely by 1 guy. flop comes 457 sure enough he calls, with 78. and then rivers 2 pair. i dont think this play was bad either, just bad luck on the river.

then the woman in the make america great again shirt on the other end whose out of state and unfamiliar with their promos and straddle rules and bathroom locations bets on the flop of A78 ive got 78 suited, in spades, 3 hearts on the flop . i raise, she calls. turn comes 4th heart, check check. river pairs the wrong card and she still bets into me i folded of course she shows the K of hearts.

i dont think my raise on the flop while still ahead is bad either, not my fold once i was beaten. seems the only error im doing is not hitting n running while up


29 comments:

  1. I think it's time to start hitting and running once in awhile it's a good idea most of the readers of your blog make six figures a year it's very easy to play poker when you make $100,000 a year or more but like me and you do not we need to live for the day it's time to start counting your pennies

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  2. "Koala came by for one final visit but i couldnt get him to play any poker. he claims he's "not a winning player" and would be stuck much more for his trip were it not for some BJ winnings. so basically he sits in his room most of the time."

    Tony I got on the bus and rode downtown from Paris to say good bye to you. Not to play poker. Unlike you I do not need to play every day and after a while I get bored playing. Being down a $1000 after four weeks of gambling is not being stuck. I can assure you that my disposable income will not be affected by this.

    You know the reason why I have been in my room the last couple of days. I told you why by text. I only have one lung as a result of having stage 4 cancer, and the smoke in some casinos in Las Vegas is too much for me. I just simply cannot be in a smoke filled environment for long periods of time. I don't just sit in my room. I go for walks and see some shows.

    Good luck with your travels wherever you decide to go.

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  3. So Koala comes all the way from Australia and just sits in his room all day? Maybe he has the fancy penthouse suite with the in house masseuse, pool etc and doesn't need to leave...

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    Replies
    1. Dang - and he didn't even invite me for a swim!

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  4. Way to go on the sensitivity to the needs of others, Tony. You say you want to find love and a meaningful relationship with a woman but you need to start demonstrating that you are capable of being more considerate of others. I know you have it in you to be nice to people and think of them when you work at it. You blew a chunk of money gambling that your mother could have used to help your son's medical needs. Think about that for a minute...

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  5. Your range seems a little loose. Calling ten dollars with Q9 suited. Calling with 78.

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    1. i used to play tighter than this, but dont u loosen up if deeper stacked ($250 or so if they too have this on this table instead of just $100)? why do many recommend loose 3 betting with these type hands in late position to isolate players?

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    2. If in late position with deep stacks and:
      1 - Everyone limps i will call with some speculative hands. Like AJ, Ace suited, KQ, KJ suited, QJ suited, JT suited and pocket tens to pocket fives.
      2 - Everyone folds to me I may raise with my speculative hands.
      3- One person calls (depending on the person) I may raise, call, or fold with speculative hands.
      4- One guy raises and 3 or more people call the raise then I might call or fold with my speculative hands. Depending on who is in the pot.

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    3. $250 in a 1/3 game is not deep stacked.

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    4. Overall I would avoid three betting with weak hands and three bet hands like AA and KK.

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  6. we all know life for a professional BJ player is 100x better than life as a professional grinder in the poker room. why? because unlike the poker player, who might be spending 75% of his winnings on his monthly housing costs to live in peace and safety instead of in the ghetto, the BJ player often gets FREE ROOMS. this is why its so tempting to give up poker completely and stick to BJ. i just wish i couldve took advantage of the better games in the 70s and 80s. i would like to meet up with those who did. living in the casinos, with no costs involved, and playing poker too for varietys sake, would be ideal. its living costs--which cause stress when i lose. but ive learned much about BJ from Bill Potts, whose played it and won regularly. for one thing, i play differently now, i no longer raise the bets up on small running counts just because im stuck. i exercise better discipline and wait for the true count to reach +1. both on the hoover dam VBJ, and the golden gate and golden nugget tables. which would be +4 or better running count in VBJ and plus 8 in golden gate. this way the true count is over +1

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    Replies
    1. You are not good enough to be a pro BJ player.

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    2. These are my feelings exactly, Tony. That's why my main game is BJ now. Living out of Mohegan Sun hotel 8-)

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  7. its dead here after the wsop. of course looking thru bravo, many cities dead this time of the morning. (7am) the poker game here broke up. never once during the wsop

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  8. Tony:

    On your twitter account, you posted an article and stated this article as an explanation of why one shouldn't tip. However, in the article, they guy talks about how the NEGATIVE results of not tipping. He said upset dealers would mess up his play because they were upset he didn't tip.

    Read that article again, Tony. He talks about the long term result of tipping out $25.00. However, he doesn't seem aware that his lack of tipping seems to have cost him much more than that...

    "The next morning I went back to the DD table and the mood in the room shifted drastically. The dealers during day shift had gone rogue—some were shuffling the deck whenever I raised my bet but some would not. Some imposed a 3x precious bet rule, some did not. The dealers who HATED my guts because I did not contribute to their salary implemented this behavior."

    I think you should re-read that article, Tony.

    s.i.

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    1. first if u are going to comment here about something i post on twitter instead of there where it would be more appropriate, u need to include the link to the article i posted. otherwise people will get the wrong idea and not realize it refers to BJ dealers instead of poker dealers. the point is he couldve just as easily lost $6000 as won. in the long run, it was worth not over $25 in EV probably. people who dont play BJ for a living dont know this. almost no professional BJ players tip much at all. why? well if u have a 1% edge (most edges are much smaller) but with $100 bet and $1 tip, there goes the entire 1%. the only BJ players who tip are the 99999% percent who dont win in the longrun

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    2. There are other things to consider. If you truly have a 1% edge, you'd better have excellent discipline. And if you are not wise in your play and betting, you might get backed off, which would never happen in poker. And ... if you were to actually make a long-term commitment to stay somewhere, your rent would be cheaper.

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    3. Tony:

      If you are going to comment here about something i post here from your twitter account, u need to include the link to the article you're commenting on me commenting on. Otherwise, people will get the wrong idea and not realize that you're failing to understand that both you and the author can choose to not tip...but that that choice MAY sometimes have -EV outcomes that mitigate any saved profit from not tipping.

      Tony - How much EV do you think the author lost when dealers frustrated by no tips decide to shuffle the BJ deck at random times to mess up his count? How much EV does he lose when dealers chose to exercise the 3x rule?

      This isn't a discussion about whether dealers SHOULD engage in such tomfoolery; it's a discussion about the ramifications of not tipping and whether that choice is really +EV. I don't think you, or he, have thought that through.

      Also, what reader thinks poker dealers can choose to shuffle the deck when a player raises? Or that a poker dealer can mandate a 3x bet requirement? You've got some pretty smart readers and I don't think many mistook that.

      s.i.

      PS - for those thrown off by Tony not including a link to that story, or simply curious about the article, I've kindly provided one here:

      https://www.blackjackapprenticeship.com/tip-hustlers/

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    4. There are very few businesses that people choose to invest in and/or run themselves if the expected annual profit is only 1%. For a BJ "pro" you need to add in the fact that casino mgt at any given time can shutdown your 1% advantage enterprise anytime that they want with nothing that you can do about it. I think you might have previously mentioned that it is not illegal to count cards in NJ. Not much of a loss there though, who in their right minds ever goes to NJ on purpose anyhow? The bottom line is please, please stop even remotely considering taking a shot at being a BJ "pro". All that effort can result in is lengthening the list of casinos that you are banned from.

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  9. I just think you're going to continue to run badly until you get yourself right in the eyes of God and deal with your responsibilities away from the casino. You pretend to ignore me when I mention your mother and son and how little regard you have shown Koala, but I know it bothers you and this will seep into your play.

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  10. I agree with TBC - people should not feel forced to tip. If people want to tip then they can if people don't want to tip then they should not have to. A tip should only be given if you feel like giving it. That's why it is called a tip.

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    Replies
    1. Dealers are not allowed to be tipped in Australian casinos. Instead regulatory government laws require casinos to pay dealers an appropriate "living wage."

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    2. Same in Macau - no tipping allowed anywhere in the casino.

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    3. No need for tipping in Macau with a 200HKD--about $25--rake per por.

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  11. You left out the bit of the story where you were sitting at the front pit with what looked like $3000 in chips on the Blackjack table... How did that turn out?

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    1. that was u? didnt know who it was. i think i won close to $300 on that BJ table

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    2. I didn't sit down and play at the table, I was playing in the poker room one table behind you, and when I left to walk to Binion's parking garage I noticed you were sitting there with a shit ton of black and green chips.

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